Trader consensus centers on an 88-89°F daily high in Austin, reflecting National Weather Service model runs that position a warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure for peak solar heating and minimal cloud cover on May 16. Clear skies and southerly flow enhance daytime warming, while climatological May baselines near 86°F provide context for the current setup. A modest 12% implied probability for 90°F or higher accounts for potential model underestimates in afternoon mixing or slight wind shifts. Lower outcomes below 86°F remain remote given the stable subsidence pattern. The final reading from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market once official observations are confirmed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
88-89°F 82%
90°F or higher 19%
86-87°F 1.0%
82-83°F <1%
$47,560 거래량
$47,560 거래량
2026.05.16
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
82%
90°F or higher
19%
88-89°F 82%
90°F or higher 19%
86-87°F 1.0%
82-83°F <1%
$47,560 거래량
$47,560 거래량
2026.05.16
82-83°F
$2,475 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$2,440 거래량
<1%
86-87°F
$5,716 거래량
1%
88-89°F
$3,969 거래량
82%
90°F or higher
$6,060 거래량
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus centers on an 88-89°F daily high in Austin, reflecting National Weather Service model runs that position a warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure for peak solar heating and minimal cloud cover on May 16. Clear skies and southerly flow enhance daytime warming, while climatological May baselines near 86°F provide context for the current setup. A modest 12% implied probability for 90°F or higher accounts for potential model underestimates in afternoon mixing or slight wind shifts. Lower outcomes below 86°F remain remote given the stable subsidence pattern. The final reading from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market once official observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
거래량
$47,560종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus centers on an 88-89°F daily high in Austin, reflecting National Weather Service model runs that position a warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure for peak solar heating and minimal cloud cover on May 16. Clear skies and southerly flow enhance daytime warming, while climatological May baselines near 86°F provide context for the current setup. A modest 12% implied probability for 90°F or higher accounts for potential model underestimates in afternoon mixing or slight wind shifts. Lower outcomes below 86°F remain remote given the stable subsidence pattern. The final reading from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market once official observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$47,560종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus centers on an 88-89°F daily high in Austin, reflecting National Weather Service model runs that position a warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure for peak solar heating and minimal cloud cover on May 16. Clear skies and southerly flow enhance daytime warming, while climatological May baselines near 86°F provide context for the current setup. A modest 12% implied probability for 90°F or higher accounts for potential model underestimates in afternoon mixing or slight wind shifts. Lower outcomes below 86°F remain remote given the stable subsidence pattern. The final reading from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market once official observations are confirmed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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