Recent warm southerly flow across central Texas, combined with a persistent upper-level ridge, has elevated model consensus for Austin's May 18 high temperature into the upper 80s to low 90s. National Weather Service and NOAA guidance currently projects daytime maxima near 90°F, supported by dew points in the low 70s and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. This aligns with the market's strong 75.5% implied probability for 90°F or higher, reflecting traders' assessment of the ongoing heat wave that produced multiple 90-plus readings earlier in the week. While scattered thunderstorms could trim afternoon highs by a few degrees, the core warm air mass remains the dominant driver, with final model runs and local observations expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 오스틴에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 오스틴에서 가장 높은 기온?
90°F or higher 76%
88-89°F 18%
86-87°F 9%
84-85°F 1.0%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
18%
90°F or higher
76%
90°F or higher 76%
88-89°F 18%
86-87°F 9%
84-85°F 1.0%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
71°F or below
$716 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$865 거래량
<1%
74-75°F
$746 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$884 거래량
<1%
78-79°F
$338 거래량
<1%
80-81°F
$634 거래량
<1%
82-83°F
$122 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$373 거래량
1%
86-87°F
$175 거래량
9%
88-89°F
$231 거래량
18%
90°F or higher
$245 거래량
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent warm southerly flow across central Texas, combined with a persistent upper-level ridge, has elevated model consensus for Austin's May 18 high temperature into the upper 80s to low 90s. National Weather Service and NOAA guidance currently projects daytime maxima near 90°F, supported by dew points in the low 70s and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. This aligns with the market's strong 75.5% implied probability for 90°F or higher, reflecting traders' assessment of the ongoing heat wave that produced multiple 90-plus readings earlier in the week. While scattered thunderstorms could trim afternoon highs by a few degrees, the core warm air mass remains the dominant driver, with final model runs and local observations expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$5,330종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent warm southerly flow across central Texas, combined with a persistent upper-level ridge, has elevated model consensus for Austin's May 18 high temperature into the upper 80s to low 90s. National Weather Service and NOAA guidance currently projects daytime maxima near 90°F, supported by dew points in the low 70s and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. This aligns with the market's strong 75.5% implied probability for 90°F or higher, reflecting traders' assessment of the ongoing heat wave that produced multiple 90-plus readings earlier in the week. While scattered thunderstorms could trim afternoon highs by a few degrees, the core warm air mass remains the dominant driver, with final model runs and local observations expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,330종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent warm southerly flow across central Texas, combined with a persistent upper-level ridge, has elevated model consensus for Austin's May 18 high temperature into the upper 80s to low 90s. National Weather Service and NOAA guidance currently projects daytime maxima near 90°F, supported by dew points in the low 70s and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. This aligns with the market's strong 75.5% implied probability for 90°F or higher, reflecting traders' assessment of the ongoing heat wave that produced multiple 90-plus readings earlier in the week. While scattered thunderstorms could trim afternoon highs by a few degrees, the core warm air mass remains the dominant driver, with final model runs and local observations expected to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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