Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model runs show Paris under persistent overcast skies with a cool northwesterly flow, limiting daytime heating and capping the maximum temperature at 16 °C. Morning readings near 7–9 °C and light winds have kept surface warming modest, consistent with the historical May average high of 18 °C yet below recent seasonal norms. The market’s near-certain 16 °C outcome reflects this stable, evidence-based consensus. A brief clearing of clouds during peak afternoon hours could allow an additional 1–2 °C of warming, but current observational trends and updated model guidance make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 16일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,173 거래량
$155,173 거래량
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C 이상
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,173 거래량
$155,173 거래량
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model runs show Paris under persistent overcast skies with a cool northwesterly flow, limiting daytime heating and capping the maximum temperature at 16 °C. Morning readings near 7–9 °C and light winds have kept surface warming modest, consistent with the historical May average high of 18 °C yet below recent seasonal norms. The market’s near-certain 16 °C outcome reflects this stable, evidence-based consensus. A brief clearing of clouds during peak afternoon hours could allow an additional 1–2 °C of warming, but current observational trends and updated model guidance make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문