Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service indicate a daytime high near 21–22 °C for Toronto on May 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 30–40 % chance of light showers developing in the afternoon. These conditions reflect typical mid-May lake-effect moderation from Lake Ontario, which caps peak temperatures even when regional air masses trend mildly above seasonal norms of 18 °C. Recent model runs show minimal warming potential due to stable high pressure and light southwesterly flow, keeping the probability of reaching 23 °C or higher below 20 %. Trader consensus has therefore coalesced around the 20–22 °C cluster, with the 21 °C outcome holding the clearest edge as resolution draws near at midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 80%
22°C 18%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$134,236 거래량
$134,236 거래량
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
80%
22°C
18%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 80%
22°C 18%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$134,236 거래량
$134,236 거래량
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
80%
22°C
18%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service indicate a daytime high near 21–22 °C for Toronto on May 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a 30–40 % chance of light showers developing in the afternoon. These conditions reflect typical mid-May lake-effect moderation from Lake Ontario, which caps peak temperatures even when regional air masses trend mildly above seasonal norms of 18 °C. Recent model runs show minimal warming potential due to stable high pressure and light southwesterly flow, keeping the probability of reaching 23 °C or higher below 20 %. Trader consensus has therefore coalesced around the 20–22 °C cluster, with the 21 °C outcome holding the clearest edge as resolution draws near at midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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