Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 13, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from China's Meteorological Administration and METAR reports showing peak readings of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and patchy light rain that capped daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and CMA initially pointed to 26-27°C, but overcast conditions and southerly winds limited solar insolation, aligning with hourly trends peaking mid-afternoon before cooling. Historical May averages near 28°C provide context for this slightly below-normal outcome, with minimal uncertainty as the day progresses toward evening; a rare late clearing and sudden insolation surge could theoretically push it to 27°C, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final airport station data expected within 24 hours will confirm resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 13?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$67,850 거래량
$67,850 거래량
2026.05.13
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$67,850 거래량
$67,850 거래량
2026.05.13
20°C or below
$1,070 거래량
No
21°C
$887 거래량
No
22°C
$1,002 거래량
No
23°C
$6,274 거래량
No
24°C
$5,721 거래량
No
25°C
$7,151 거래량
No
26°C
$10,802 거래량
Yes
27°C
$6,503 거래량
No
28°C
$7,127 거래량
No
29°C
$10,921 거래량
No
30°C or higher
$10,393 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 13, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from China's Meteorological Administration and METAR reports showing peak readings of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and patchy light rain that capped daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and CMA initially pointed to 26-27°C, but overcast conditions and southerly winds limited solar insolation, aligning with hourly trends peaking mid-afternoon before cooling. Historical May averages near 28°C provide context for this slightly below-normal outcome, with minimal uncertainty as the day progresses toward evening; a rare late clearing and sudden insolation surge could theoretically push it to 27°C, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final airport station data expected within 24 hours will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
거래량
$67,850종료일
2026.05.13마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 13, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from China's Meteorological Administration and METAR reports showing peak readings of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and patchy light rain that capped daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and CMA initially pointed to 26-27°C, but overcast conditions and southerly winds limited solar insolation, aligning with hourly trends peaking mid-afternoon before cooling. Historical May averages near 28°C provide context for this slightly below-normal outcome, with minimal uncertainty as the day progresses toward evening; a rare late clearing and sudden insolation surge could theoretically push it to 27°C, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final airport station data expected within 24 hours will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$67,850종료일
2026.05.13마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 13, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from China's Meteorological Administration and METAR reports showing peak readings of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and patchy light rain that capped daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and CMA initially pointed to 26-27°C, but overcast conditions and southerly winds limited solar insolation, aligning with hourly trends peaking mid-afternoon before cooling. Historical May averages near 28°C provide context for this slightly below-normal outcome, with minimal uncertainty as the day progresses toward evening; a rare late clearing and sudden insolation surge could theoretically push it to 27°C, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final airport station data expected within 24 hours will confirm resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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