Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations continue to highlight deep divisions over Tehran's nuclear program, with Iranian officials prioritizing an end to the Gulf conflict and sanctions relief ahead of any curbs on uranium enrichment. Recent statements from Iran's Foreign Affairs Ministry indicate the country is still reviewing a US proposal while signaling it will not pursue nuclear talks "for the time being," deferring enrichment issues to later phases in a proposed multi-stage framework. Hardline positions within Iran, including refusal to dismantle facilities or immediately address its highly enriched uranium stockpile, have delayed progress. With the May 31 deadline approaching amid these unresolved sticking points, traders assign a 94% probability that no agreement to end enrichment will occur by that date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$621,127 거래량
$621,127 거래량
2026.05.31
예
$621,127 거래량
$621,127 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations continue to highlight deep divisions over Tehran's nuclear program, with Iranian officials prioritizing an end to the Gulf conflict and sanctions relief ahead of any curbs on uranium enrichment. Recent statements from Iran's Foreign Affairs Ministry indicate the country is still reviewing a US proposal while signaling it will not pursue nuclear talks "for the time being," deferring enrichment issues to later phases in a proposed multi-stage framework. Hardline positions within Iran, including refusal to dismantle facilities or immediately address its highly enriched uranium stockpile, have delayed progress. With the May 31 deadline approaching amid these unresolved sticking points, traders assign a 94% probability that no agreement to end enrichment will occur by that date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
거래량
$621,127종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations continue to highlight deep divisions over Tehran's nuclear program, with Iranian officials prioritizing an end to the Gulf conflict and sanctions relief ahead of any curbs on uranium enrichment. Recent statements from Iran's Foreign Affairs Ministry indicate the country is still reviewing a US proposal while signaling it will not pursue nuclear talks "for the time being," deferring enrichment issues to later phases in a proposed multi-stage framework. Hardline positions within Iran, including refusal to dismantle facilities or immediately address its highly enriched uranium stockpile, have delayed progress. With the May 31 deadline approaching amid these unresolved sticking points, traders assign a 94% probability that no agreement to end enrichment will occur by that date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$621,127종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations continue to highlight deep divisions over Tehran's nuclear program, with Iranian officials prioritizing an end to the Gulf conflict and sanctions relief ahead of any curbs on uranium enrichment. Recent statements from Iran's Foreign Affairs Ministry indicate the country is still reviewing a US proposal while signaling it will not pursue nuclear talks "for the time being," deferring enrichment issues to later phases in a proposed multi-stage framework. Hardline positions within Iran, including refusal to dismantle facilities or immediately address its highly enriched uranium stockpile, have delayed progress. With the May 31 deadline approaching amid these unresolved sticking points, traders assign a 94% probability that no agreement to end enrichment will occur by that date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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