Incumbent Republican Rep. Julie Fedorchak's strong position in North Dakota's at-large congressional district drives trader consensus toward a Republican hold, reflecting the state's deep GOP lean—evidenced by her 39-point 2024 general election margin over Democrat Trygve Hammer—and historical Republican dominance in statewide races. With the June 9 primary nearing, Fedorchak and challenger Alex Balazs, who secured NDGOP endorsement in late March, recently prepared for their second faceoff amid her reluctance for formal debates, yet no polls signal primary vulnerability. Democratic frontrunner Hammer trails prior fundraising, underscoring weak opposition. While a scandal-plagued GOP nominee or national midterm wave could shift odds, structural advantages make upsets improbable before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$37,290 거래량
$37,290 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
95%
민주당
4%
$37,290 거래량
$37,290 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$22,422 거래량
95%
민주당
$14,868 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Julie Fedorchak's strong position in North Dakota's at-large congressional district drives trader consensus toward a Republican hold, reflecting the state's deep GOP lean—evidenced by her 39-point 2024 general election margin over Democrat Trygve Hammer—and historical Republican dominance in statewide races. With the June 9 primary nearing, Fedorchak and challenger Alex Balazs, who secured NDGOP endorsement in late March, recently prepared for their second faceoff amid her reluctance for formal debates, yet no polls signal primary vulnerability. Democratic frontrunner Hammer trails prior fundraising, underscoring weak opposition. While a scandal-plagued GOP nominee or national midterm wave could shift odds, structural advantages make upsets improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$37,290종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Julie Fedorchak's strong position in North Dakota's at-large congressional district drives trader consensus toward a Republican hold, reflecting the state's deep GOP lean—evidenced by her 39-point 2024 general election margin over Democrat Trygve Hammer—and historical Republican dominance in statewide races. With the June 9 primary nearing, Fedorchak and challenger Alex Balazs, who secured NDGOP endorsement in late March, recently prepared for their second faceoff amid her reluctance for formal debates, yet no polls signal primary vulnerability. Democratic frontrunner Hammer trails prior fundraising, underscoring weak opposition. While a scandal-plagued GOP nominee or national midterm wave could shift odds, structural advantages make upsets improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$37,290종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Julie Fedorchak's strong position in North Dakota's at-large congressional district drives trader consensus toward a Republican hold, reflecting the state's deep GOP lean—evidenced by her 39-point 2024 general election margin over Democrat Trygve Hammer—and historical Republican dominance in statewide races. With the June 9 primary nearing, Fedorchak and challenger Alex Balazs, who secured NDGOP endorsement in late March, recently prepared for their second faceoff amid her reluctance for formal debates, yet no polls signal primary vulnerability. Democratic frontrunner Hammer trails prior fundraising, underscoring weak opposition. While a scandal-plagued GOP nominee or national midterm wave could shift odds, structural advantages make upsets improbable before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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