The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Kamala Harris's 61%-37% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Rob Menendez holds a 42%-27% lead in April polling for the June 2 primary against challenger Mussab Ali, bolstered by county party endorsements, Hudson County organizational support, and over $1 million in cash on hand. No Republican filed by the March deadline, leaving only an independent candidate for the November 3 general election. A Democratic primary upset or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the margin, though the district's partisan baseline and limited opposition make such shifts unlikely without major developments before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,723 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$2,344 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Kamala Harris's 61%-37% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Rob Menendez holds a 42%-27% lead in April polling for the June 2 primary against challenger Mussab Ali, bolstered by county party endorsements, Hudson County organizational support, and over $1 million in cash on hand. No Republican filed by the March deadline, leaving only an independent candidate for the November 3 general election. A Democratic primary upset or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the margin, though the district's partisan baseline and limited opposition make such shifts unlikely without major developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$6,066종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Kamala Harris's 61%-37% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Rob Menendez holds a 42%-27% lead in April polling for the June 2 primary against challenger Mussab Ali, bolstered by county party endorsements, Hudson County organizational support, and over $1 million in cash on hand. No Republican filed by the March deadline, leaving only an independent candidate for the November 3 general election. A Democratic primary upset or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the margin, though the district's partisan baseline and limited opposition make such shifts unlikely without major developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,066종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Kamala Harris's 61%-37% margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Rob Menendez holds a 42%-27% lead in April polling for the June 2 primary against challenger Mussab Ali, bolstered by county party endorsements, Hudson County organizational support, and over $1 million in cash on hand. No Republican filed by the March deadline, leaving only an independent candidate for the November 3 general election. A Democratic primary upset or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the margin, though the district's partisan baseline and limited opposition make such shifts unlikely without major developments before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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