Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73.5% to retain Nevada's 2nd congressional district in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's strong GOP lean despite incumbent Rep. Mark Amodei's February retirement announcement that created an open race. NV-02, encompassing rural northern Nevada, has delivered consistent Republican margins—Amodei won by over 20 points in recent cycles—and lacks historical Democratic success, with the closest challenge a 5-point loss in 2006. Recent coverage highlights crowded primaries on June 9, with 13 Republicans and 11 Democrats vying amid no public polling, but traders anticipate a unified GOP nominee benefiting from incumbency-free base rates in R-leaning districts. Shifts could arise from primary outcomes or national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,676 거래량
$13,676 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
74%
민주당
24%
$13,676 거래량
$13,676 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$10,317 거래량
74%
민주당
$3,359 거래량
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73.5% to retain Nevada's 2nd congressional district in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's strong GOP lean despite incumbent Rep. Mark Amodei's February retirement announcement that created an open race. NV-02, encompassing rural northern Nevada, has delivered consistent Republican margins—Amodei won by over 20 points in recent cycles—and lacks historical Democratic success, with the closest challenge a 5-point loss in 2006. Recent coverage highlights crowded primaries on June 9, with 13 Republicans and 11 Democrats vying amid no public polling, but traders anticipate a unified GOP nominee benefiting from incumbency-free base rates in R-leaning districts. Shifts could arise from primary outcomes or national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$13,676종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73.5% to retain Nevada's 2nd congressional district in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's strong GOP lean despite incumbent Rep. Mark Amodei's February retirement announcement that created an open race. NV-02, encompassing rural northern Nevada, has delivered consistent Republican margins—Amodei won by over 20 points in recent cycles—and lacks historical Democratic success, with the closest challenge a 5-point loss in 2006. Recent coverage highlights crowded primaries on June 9, with 13 Republicans and 11 Democrats vying amid no public polling, but traders anticipate a unified GOP nominee benefiting from incumbency-free base rates in R-leaning districts. Shifts could arise from primary outcomes or national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,676종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 73.5% to retain Nevada's 2nd congressional district in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's strong GOP lean despite incumbent Rep. Mark Amodei's February retirement announcement that created an open race. NV-02, encompassing rural northern Nevada, has delivered consistent Republican margins—Amodei won by over 20 points in recent cycles—and lacks historical Democratic success, with the closest challenge a 5-point loss in 2006. Recent coverage highlights crowded primaries on June 9, with 13 Republicans and 11 Democrats vying amid no public polling, but traders anticipate a unified GOP nominee benefiting from incumbency-free base rates in R-leaning districts. Shifts could arise from primary outcomes or national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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