Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won VA-10 in 2024 with 52% amid a crowded primary and endorsement from retiring Rep. Jennifer Wexton, announced his re-election bid in January 2026 and faces no Democratic primary challengers on August 4. His $606,000 cash-on-hand dwarfs Republican primary contenders Julie Perry ($1,000) and Sam Wong ($29,000), per March filings. A recent Virginia Supreme Court ruling blocking certification of the April voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment preserves the district's D+6 partisan voting index and Democratic-leaning lines. Cook rates it Likely D; traders price Democratic Party at 89% reflecting incumbency edge, fundraising dominance, and historical 52-56% margins in a Northern Virginia battleground, with filing deadline May 26 potentially clarifying GOP field.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
5%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$306 거래량
90%
Republican Party
$267 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won VA-10 in 2024 with 52% amid a crowded primary and endorsement from retiring Rep. Jennifer Wexton, announced his re-election bid in January 2026 and faces no Democratic primary challengers on August 4. His $606,000 cash-on-hand dwarfs Republican primary contenders Julie Perry ($1,000) and Sam Wong ($29,000), per March filings. A recent Virginia Supreme Court ruling blocking certification of the April voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment preserves the district's D+6 partisan voting index and Democratic-leaning lines. Cook rates it Likely D; traders price Democratic Party at 89% reflecting incumbency edge, fundraising dominance, and historical 52-56% margins in a Northern Virginia battleground, with filing deadline May 26 potentially clarifying GOP field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$573종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won VA-10 in 2024 with 52% amid a crowded primary and endorsement from retiring Rep. Jennifer Wexton, announced his re-election bid in January 2026 and faces no Democratic primary challengers on August 4. His $606,000 cash-on-hand dwarfs Republican primary contenders Julie Perry ($1,000) and Sam Wong ($29,000), per March filings. A recent Virginia Supreme Court ruling blocking certification of the April voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment preserves the district's D+6 partisan voting index and Democratic-leaning lines. Cook rates it Likely D; traders price Democratic Party at 89% reflecting incumbency edge, fundraising dominance, and historical 52-56% margins in a Northern Virginia battleground, with filing deadline May 26 potentially clarifying GOP field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$573종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won VA-10 in 2024 with 52% amid a crowded primary and endorsement from retiring Rep. Jennifer Wexton, announced his re-election bid in January 2026 and faces no Democratic primary challengers on August 4. His $606,000 cash-on-hand dwarfs Republican primary contenders Julie Perry ($1,000) and Sam Wong ($29,000), per March filings. A recent Virginia Supreme Court ruling blocking certification of the April voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment preserves the district's D+6 partisan voting index and Democratic-leaning lines. Cook rates it Likely D; traders price Democratic Party at 89% reflecting incumbency edge, fundraising dominance, and historical 52-56% margins in a Northern Virginia battleground, with filing deadline May 26 potentially clarifying GOP field.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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