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icon for 다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?
정치·중동

다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?

icon for 다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?
정치·중동

다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?

가디 아이젠코트 37.6%

베냐민 네타냐후 35%

나프탈리 베네트 14%

아비그도르 리버만 3.8%

Polymarket

$18,845,211 거래량

가디 아이젠코트 37.6%

베냐민 네타냐후 35%

나프탈리 베네트 14%

아비그도르 리버만 3.8%

Polymarket

$18,845,211 거래량

가디 아이젠코트

$1,051,438 거래량

38%

베냐민 네타냐후

$1,829,813 거래량

35%

나프탈리 베네트

$2,047,387 거래량

14%

아비그도르 리버만

$1,815,741 거래량

4%

이타마르 벤 그비르

$1,164,602 거래량

1%

야리브 레빈

$658,772 거래량

1%

이스라엘 카츠

$436,720 거래량

1%

요시 코헨

$1,096,079 거래량

<1%

기디온 사아르

$1,258,846 거래량

<1%

야이르 라피드

$835,146 거래량

<1%

베니 간츠

$745,513 거래량

<1%

야이르 골란

$1,102,432 거래량

<1%

니르 바르캇

$641,547 거래량

<1%

길라드 에르단

$93,174 거래량

<1%

아예렛 샤케드

$1,072,522 거래량

<1%

아미르 오하나

$1,052,323 거래량

<1%

모셰 페이글린

$759,018 거래량

<1%

요아즈 헨델

$1,184,212 거래량

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eizenkot leads trader consensus for Israel's next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election due to his rising profile as leader of the new Yashar party and strong centrist-security appeal among voters seeking an alternative to the incumbent. Recent polling shows his support edging ahead of Naftali Bennett's Together alliance with Yair Lapid, bolstered by Eizenkot's former IDF chief role, personal losses in the Gaza conflict, and criticism of coalition governance. Benjamin Netanyahu remains close behind, backed by Likud's projected seat strength and right-wing bloc loyalty despite coalition strains over military exemptions and prolonged multi-front operations. Bennett's merger aims to consolidate anti-Netanyahu forces but has not yet produced decisive separation. The narrow gap reflects persistent opposition fragmentation, voter priorities on security and accountability, and the structural need for a 61-seat majority in coalition negotiations.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$18,845,211
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gadi Eizenkot leads trader consensus for Israel's next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election due to his rising profile as leader of the new Yashar party and strong centrist-security appeal among voters seeking an alternative to the incumbent. Recent polling shows his support edging ahead of Naftali Bennett's Together alliance with Yair Lapid, bolstered by Eizenkot's former IDF chief role, personal losses in the Gaza conflict, and criticism of coalition governance. Benjamin Netanyahu remains close behind, backed by Likud's projected seat strength and right-wing bloc loyalty despite coalition strains over military exemptions and prolonged multi-front operations. Bennett's merger aims to consolidate anti-Netanyahu forces but has not yet produced decisive separation. The narrow gap reflects persistent opposition fragmentation, voter priorities on security and accountability, and the structural need for a 61-seat majority in coalition negotiations.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$18,845,211
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?"은 18개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 38%의 "가디 아이젠코트"이며, 이어서 35%의 "베냐민 네타냐후"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 38¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 38%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?"은 총 $18.8 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Nov 14, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 18개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?"의 현재 유력 후보는 38%의 "가디 아이젠코트"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 38%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 35%의 "베냐민 네타냐후"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.