Ongoing diplomatic frictions with nations including South Africa and Iran-linked states have produced public criticism and aid adjustments but no expulsions of U.S. ambassadors through mid-2026. The Trump administration’s recall of nearly thirty career envoys from posts in Africa, Asia, and Europe has instead shifted focus to U.S.-initiated personnel changes rather than reciprocal host-country actions. Iran’s March demands for Gulf states to sever ties with U.S. representatives produced no compliance, while routine ordered departures of American staff from conflict zones reflect security protocols, not diplomatic rupture. These patterns sustain trader expectations that formal expulsion remains unlikely before year-end absent a major new escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$15,172 거래량
$15,172 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$15,172 거래량
$15,172 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ongoing diplomatic frictions with nations including South Africa and Iran-linked states have produced public criticism and aid adjustments but no expulsions of U.S. ambassadors through mid-2026. The Trump administration’s recall of nearly thirty career envoys from posts in Africa, Asia, and Europe has instead shifted focus to U.S.-initiated personnel changes rather than reciprocal host-country actions. Iran’s March demands for Gulf states to sever ties with U.S. representatives produced no compliance, while routine ordered departures of American staff from conflict zones reflect security protocols, not diplomatic rupture. These patterns sustain trader expectations that formal expulsion remains unlikely before year-end absent a major new escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
거래량
$15,172종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ongoing diplomatic frictions with nations including South Africa and Iran-linked states have produced public criticism and aid adjustments but no expulsions of U.S. ambassadors through mid-2026. The Trump administration’s recall of nearly thirty career envoys from posts in Africa, Asia, and Europe has instead shifted focus to U.S.-initiated personnel changes rather than reciprocal host-country actions. Iran’s March demands for Gulf states to sever ties with U.S. representatives produced no compliance, while routine ordered departures of American staff from conflict zones reflect security protocols, not diplomatic rupture. These patterns sustain trader expectations that formal expulsion remains unlikely before year-end absent a major new escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$15,172종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic frictions with nations including South Africa and Iran-linked states have produced public criticism and aid adjustments but no expulsions of U.S. ambassadors through mid-2026. The Trump administration’s recall of nearly thirty career envoys from posts in Africa, Asia, and Europe has instead shifted focus to U.S.-initiated personnel changes rather than reciprocal host-country actions. Iran’s March demands for Gulf states to sever ties with U.S. representatives produced no compliance, while routine ordered departures of American staff from conflict zones reflect security protocols, not diplomatic rupture. These patterns sustain trader expectations that formal expulsion remains unlikely before year-end absent a major new escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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