Trader consensus heavily favors an 18°C high in Ankara today, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global and regional meteorological models that converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. Recent surface observations from nearby stations confirm daytime warming trends consistent with these projections, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to alter the thermal profile. While the dominant market-implied probability exceeds 99%, realistic scenarios that could challenge resolution at 18°C include late-day convective development or revisions from updated satellite-derived temperature data. Official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine the final recorded high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
18°C 99.3%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$50,318 Wol.
$50,318 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
99%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.3%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$50,318 Wol.
$50,318 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$666 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$378 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$1,685 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$7,264 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$6,389 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$7,562 Wol.
99%
19°C
$5,639 Wol.
1%
20°C
$5,067 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$6,590 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$4,953 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,125 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors an 18°C high in Ankara today, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global and regional meteorological models that converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. Recent surface observations from nearby stations confirm daytime warming trends consistent with these projections, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to alter the thermal profile. While the dominant market-implied probability exceeds 99%, realistic scenarios that could challenge resolution at 18°C include late-day convective development or revisions from updated satellite-derived temperature data. Official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$50,318Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus heavily favors an 18°C high in Ankara today, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global and regional meteorological models that converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. Recent surface observations from nearby stations confirm daytime warming trends consistent with these projections, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to alter the thermal profile. While the dominant market-implied probability exceeds 99%, realistic scenarios that could challenge resolution at 18°C include late-day convective development or revisions from updated satellite-derived temperature data. Official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$50,318Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACTrader consensus heavily favors an 18°C high in Ankara today, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global and regional meteorological models that converge on maximum temperatures in that narrow range amid stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. Recent surface observations from nearby stations confirm daytime warming trends consistent with these projections, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to alter the thermal profile. While the dominant market-implied probability exceeds 99%, realistic scenarios that could challenge resolution at 18°C include late-day convective development or revisions from updated satellite-derived temperature data. Official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine the final recorded high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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