Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 17 high temperature will reach 19 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show minimal deviation from this range, with observed afternoon readings aligning closely to agency guidance and supporting the overwhelming market-implied probability near 99.6 percent for the 19 °C outcome. Late-day stabilization of surface temperatures and limited convective activity reduce the likelihood of significant upward or downward revisions before official daily maximums are recorded. Only an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or rapid cloud buildup could shift the final high outside the narrow 18–20 °C window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 99.6%
23°C or higher <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$144,069 Wol.
$144,069 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 99.6%
23°C or higher <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$144,069 Wol.
$144,069 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$533 Wol.
No
14°C
$30,787 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,780 Wol.
No
16°C
$6,611 Wol.
No
17°C
$8,803 Wol.
No
18°C
$14,420 Wol.
No
19°C
$35,568 Wol.
Yes
20°C
$17,505 Wol.
No
21°C
$6,312 Wol.
No
22°C
$8,763 Wol.
No
23°C or higher
$12,987 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 17 high temperature will reach 19 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show minimal deviation from this range, with observed afternoon readings aligning closely to agency guidance and supporting the overwhelming market-implied probability near 99.6 percent for the 19 °C outcome. Late-day stabilization of surface temperatures and limited convective activity reduce the likelihood of significant upward or downward revisions before official daily maximums are recorded. Only an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or rapid cloud buildup could shift the final high outside the narrow 18–20 °C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$144,069Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 17 high temperature will reach 19 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show minimal deviation from this range, with observed afternoon readings aligning closely to agency guidance and supporting the overwhelming market-implied probability near 99.6 percent for the 19 °C outcome. Late-day stabilization of surface temperatures and limited convective activity reduce the likelihood of significant upward or downward revisions before official daily maximums are recorded. Only an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or rapid cloud buildup could shift the final high outside the narrow 18–20 °C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$144,069Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 17 high temperature will reach 19 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show minimal deviation from this range, with observed afternoon readings aligning closely to agency guidance and supporting the overwhelming market-implied probability near 99.6 percent for the 19 °C outcome. Late-day stabilization of surface temperatures and limited convective activity reduce the likelihood of significant upward or downward revisions before official daily maximums are recorded. Only an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or rapid cloud buildup could shift the final high outside the narrow 18–20 °C window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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