Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on May 18 most likely between 21°C and 22°C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure limiting strong cold-air advection from the Southern Ocean while allowing moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global systems shows tight clustering around these values, with historical mid-May climatology placing the long-term average maximum near 19°C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes and the rapid repricing expected with the next model cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 18?
21°C 42%
22°C 32%
20°C 13.7%
23°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
14%
21°C
42%
22°C
32%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 42%
22°C 32%
20°C 13.7%
23°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$342 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$541 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$503 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$869 Wol.
1%
19°C
$791 Wol.
2%
20°C
$650 Wol.
14%
21°C
$1,770 Wol.
42%
22°C
$985 Wol.
32%
23°C
$1,336 Wol.
11%
24°C
$899 Wol.
1%
25°C or higher
$391 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on May 18 most likely between 21°C and 22°C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure limiting strong cold-air advection from the Southern Ocean while allowing moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global systems shows tight clustering around these values, with historical mid-May climatology placing the long-term average maximum near 19°C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes and the rapid repricing expected with the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,079Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on May 18 most likely between 21°C and 22°C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure limiting strong cold-air advection from the Southern Ocean while allowing moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global systems shows tight clustering around these values, with historical mid-May climatology placing the long-term average maximum near 19°C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes and the rapid repricing expected with the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$9,079Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTLatest numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on May 18 most likely between 21°C and 22°C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure limiting strong cold-air advection from the Southern Ocean while allowing moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global systems shows tight clustering around these values, with historical mid-May climatology placing the long-term average maximum near 19°C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes and the rapid repricing expected with the next model cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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