Traders assign a 99.8% implied probability to a 23°C high in Chongqing on May 17 because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show stable high-pressure conditions holding daytime temperatures in that narrow range. Current surface observations and upper-air data indicate limited moisture and weak winds, preventing significant warming or convective cooling that could push readings higher or lower. This positioning matches typical mid-May climatology for the region, where historical maxima average near 23–25°C under similar synoptic setups. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations; an unexpected frontal passage or localized heat island effect remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before measurements close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,418 Wol.
$46,418 Wol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,418 Wol.
$46,418 Wol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$2,479 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$1,659 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,059 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$3,184 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$4,197 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$9,222 Wol.
100%
24°C
$5,501 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$4,309 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$3,645 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$3,953 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,210 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign a 99.8% implied probability to a 23°C high in Chongqing on May 17 because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show stable high-pressure conditions holding daytime temperatures in that narrow range. Current surface observations and upper-air data indicate limited moisture and weak winds, preventing significant warming or convective cooling that could push readings higher or lower. This positioning matches typical mid-May climatology for the region, where historical maxima average near 23–25°C under similar synoptic setups. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations; an unexpected frontal passage or localized heat island effect remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before measurements close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$46,418Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign a 99.8% implied probability to a 23°C high in Chongqing on May 17 because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show stable high-pressure conditions holding daytime temperatures in that narrow range. Current surface observations and upper-air data indicate limited moisture and weak winds, preventing significant warming or convective cooling that could push readings higher or lower. This positioning matches typical mid-May climatology for the region, where historical maxima average near 23–25°C under similar synoptic setups. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations; an unexpected frontal passage or localized heat island effect remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before measurements close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$46,418Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKTraders assign a 99.8% implied probability to a 23°C high in Chongqing on May 17 because official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show stable high-pressure conditions holding daytime temperatures in that narrow range. Current surface observations and upper-air data indicate limited moisture and weak winds, preventing significant warming or convective cooling that could push readings higher or lower. This positioning matches typical mid-May climatology for the region, where historical maxima average near 23–25°C under similar synoptic setups. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations; an unexpected frontal passage or localized heat island effect remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before measurements close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania