Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models point to a Dallas high temperature near 86–88°F on May 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes. Southerly winds around 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels are the key variables that could push the afternoon peak one bin higher or keep it in the mid-80s, depending on how quickly daytime heating develops under the current subtropical ridge. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 85°F with a standard deviation of roughly 4–5°F, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
88-89°F 60%
86-87°F 47%
90-91°F 8%
92°F or higher 1.1%
$51,541 Wol.
$51,541 Wol.
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
60%
90-91°F
8%
92°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 60%
86-87°F 47%
90-91°F 8%
92°F or higher 1.1%
$51,541 Wol.
$51,541 Wol.
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
$13,405 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,233 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,904 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,123 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,359 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,464 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$5,477 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$3,540 Wol.
41%
88-89°F
$3,254 Wol.
60%
90-91°F
$2,934 Wol.
8%
92°F or higher
$5,126 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models point to a Dallas high temperature near 86–88°F on May 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes. Southerly winds around 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels are the key variables that could push the afternoon peak one bin higher or keep it in the mid-80s, depending on how quickly daytime heating develops under the current subtropical ridge. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 85°F with a standard deviation of roughly 4–5°F, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$51,541Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models point to a Dallas high temperature near 86–88°F on May 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes. Southerly winds around 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels are the key variables that could push the afternoon peak one bin higher or keep it in the mid-80s, depending on how quickly daytime heating develops under the current subtropical ridge. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 85°F with a standard deviation of roughly 4–5°F, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$51,541Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models point to a Dallas high temperature near 86–88°F on May 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes. Southerly winds around 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels are the key variables that could push the afternoon peak one bin higher or keep it in the mid-80s, depending on how quickly daytime heating develops under the current subtropical ridge. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 85°F with a standard deviation of roughly 4–5°F, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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