Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirmed a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15 amid persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers linked to a low-pressure trough. This verified observation anchors the near-certain market consensus at that exact threshold, consistent with mid-May climatology where transitional monsoon influences often cap highs near or below seasonal averages of 28–29°C. New data releases are unlikely to alter resolution, though any revision to official station readings from the Observatory could theoretically shift the outcome in the final tally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,592 Wol.
$292,592 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,592 Wol.
$292,592 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Wol.
100%
28°C
$45,410 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,999 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirmed a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15 amid persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers linked to a low-pressure trough. This verified observation anchors the near-certain market consensus at that exact threshold, consistent with mid-May climatology where transitional monsoon influences often cap highs near or below seasonal averages of 28–29°C. New data releases are unlikely to alter resolution, though any revision to official station readings from the Observatory could theoretically shift the outcome in the final tally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$292,592Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirmed a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15 amid persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers linked to a low-pressure trough. This verified observation anchors the near-certain market consensus at that exact threshold, consistent with mid-May climatology where transitional monsoon influences often cap highs near or below seasonal averages of 28–29°C. New data releases are unlikely to alter resolution, though any revision to official station readings from the Observatory could theoretically shift the outcome in the final tally.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$292,592Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirmed a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15 amid persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers linked to a low-pressure trough. This verified observation anchors the near-certain market consensus at that exact threshold, consistent with mid-May climatology where transitional monsoon influences often cap highs near or below seasonal averages of 28–29°C. New data releases are unlikely to alter resolution, though any revision to official station readings from the Observatory could theoretically shift the outcome in the final tally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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