The Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological records for May 15 established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C, driving the overwhelming market consensus. This reading aligns with typical early-summer conditions in the subtropical climate, where May averages hover near 28°C and sea-surface temperatures around 26°C support modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Forecasters noted no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification that would push readings higher, and model consensus from the previous 48 hours showed little spread around the 26–28°C range. A final verification report or minor station adjustment remains the only realistic pathway that could alter resolution, though historical data indicate such revisions rarely exceed 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 Wol.
$292,518 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 Wol.
$292,518 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Wol.
100%
28°C
$45,405 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,925 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological records for May 15 established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C, driving the overwhelming market consensus. This reading aligns with typical early-summer conditions in the subtropical climate, where May averages hover near 28°C and sea-surface temperatures around 26°C support modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Forecasters noted no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification that would push readings higher, and model consensus from the previous 48 hours showed little spread around the 26–28°C range. A final verification report or minor station adjustment remains the only realistic pathway that could alter resolution, though historical data indicate such revisions rarely exceed 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$292,518Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological records for May 15 established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C, driving the overwhelming market consensus. This reading aligns with typical early-summer conditions in the subtropical climate, where May averages hover near 28°C and sea-surface temperatures around 26°C support modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Forecasters noted no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification that would push readings higher, and model consensus from the previous 48 hours showed little spread around the 26–28°C range. A final verification report or minor station adjustment remains the only realistic pathway that could alter resolution, though historical data indicate such revisions rarely exceed 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$292,518Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological records for May 15 established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C, driving the overwhelming market consensus. This reading aligns with typical early-summer conditions in the subtropical climate, where May averages hover near 28°C and sea-surface temperatures around 26°C support modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Forecasters noted no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification that would push readings higher, and model consensus from the previous 48 hours showed little spread around the 26–28°C range. A final verification report or minor station adjustment remains the only realistic pathway that could alter resolution, though historical data indicate such revisions rarely exceed 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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