Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence alongside a moist easterly flow that sustains widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions suppress surface heating well below the May climatological average of 28–29°C under clearer skies, with numerical weather prediction ensembles showing minimal spread in peak temperature guidance. Official monitoring tracks any monsoon pattern shifts that could briefly increase insolation and allow modest warming, though current model consensus supports limited upside risk ahead of the final daily maximum observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,883 Wol.
$265,883 Wol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,883 Wol.
$265,883 Wol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence alongside a moist easterly flow that sustains widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions suppress surface heating well below the May climatological average of 28–29°C under clearer skies, with numerical weather prediction ensembles showing minimal spread in peak temperature guidance. Official monitoring tracks any monsoon pattern shifts that could briefly increase insolation and allow modest warming, though current model consensus supports limited upside risk ahead of the final daily maximum observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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