Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station recorded Lagos's highest temperature at 34°C on May 14, 2026, during midday hours before convective cloud cover and thunderstorms capped further warming, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with NiMet's forecast of highs near 35°C, moderated by rainfall, and ECMWF/GFS model projections of 32–33°C baselines elevated by urban heat island effects at the airport amid NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal May conditions above the 31°C historical average. Finalized Wunderground data for DNMM confirms the peak, with revisions unlikely; only an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst could challenge it, counter to observed trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 14?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$64,337 Wol.
$64,337 Wol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$64,337 Wol.
$64,337 Wol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) station recorded Lagos's highest temperature at 34°C on May 14, 2026, during midday hours before convective cloud cover and thunderstorms capped further warming, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with NiMet's forecast of highs near 35°C, moderated by rainfall, and ECMWF/GFS model projections of 32–33°C baselines elevated by urban heat island effects at the airport amid NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook for warmer-than-normal May conditions above the 31°C historical average. Finalized Wunderground data for DNMM confirms the peak, with revisions unlikely; only an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst could challenge it, counter to observed trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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