Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market outcome at 40.5% implied probability. An unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system is steering cooler, moist air across southern England, limiting daytime warming despite the late-spring date and producing patchy rain that further suppresses peak readings. These model runs align with climatological averages for mid-May, where highs typically range 15–18 °C, while any brief clearing could allow 16 °C to materialize and account for its 26.5% share. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 18?
Highest temperature in London on May 18?
15°C 41%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
17°C 6.3%
NOWE
$39,763 Wol.
NOWE
$39,763 Wol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
21%
15°C
41%
16°C
27%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 41%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
17°C 6.3%
NOWE
$39,763 Wol.
NOWE
$39,763 Wol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$1,791 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$6,300 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$1,833 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$1,553 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$2,737 Wol.
1%
13°C
$4,237 Wol.
5%
14°C
$3,055 Wol.
21%
15°C
$3,750 Wol.
41%
16°C
$5,023 Wol.
27%
17°C
$3,814 Wol.
6%
18°C or higher
$5,689 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market outcome at 40.5% implied probability. An unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system is steering cooler, moist air across southern England, limiting daytime warming despite the late-spring date and producing patchy rain that further suppresses peak readings. These model runs align with climatological averages for mid-May, where highs typically range 15–18 °C, while any brief clearing could allow 16 °C to materialize and account for its 26.5% share. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$39,763Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market outcome at 40.5% implied probability. An unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system is steering cooler, moist air across southern England, limiting daytime warming despite the late-spring date and producing patchy rain that further suppresses peak readings. These model runs align with climatological averages for mid-May, where highs typically range 15–18 °C, while any brief clearing could allow 16 °C to materialize and account for its 26.5% share. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$39,763Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market outcome at 40.5% implied probability. An unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system is steering cooler, moist air across southern England, limiting daytime warming despite the late-spring date and producing patchy rain that further suppresses peak readings. These model runs align with climatological averages for mid-May, where highs typically range 15–18 °C, while any brief clearing could allow 16 °C to materialize and account for its 26.5% share. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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