National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently point to partly cloudy conditions over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, positioning the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets as the clear market leaders. This aligns with May climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 85 °F amid a dominant subtropical ridge that limits stronger onshore flow and allows modest daytime heating. Sea-breeze convergence and scattered afternoon convection introduce the primary uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine the final reading at Miami International Airport, the resolution source.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on May 17?
84-85°F 45%
86-87°F 28%
82-83°F 25.4%
88-89°F 3.0%
$68,160 Wol.
$68,160 Wol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
45%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 45%
86-87°F 28%
82-83°F 25.4%
88-89°F 3.0%
$68,160 Wol.
$68,160 Wol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
45%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently point to partly cloudy conditions over Miami with daytime highs in the upper 80s, positioning the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets as the clear market leaders. This aligns with May climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 85 °F amid a dominant subtropical ridge that limits stronger onshore flow and allows modest daytime heating. Sea-breeze convergence and scattered afternoon convection introduce the primary uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine the final reading at Miami International Airport, the resolution source.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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