National Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on May 18?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 18?
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 6%
NOWE
$16,861 Wol.
NOWE
$16,861 Wol.
May 18, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 6%
NOWE
$16,861 Wol.
NOWE
$16,861 Wol.
May 18, 2026
77°F or below
$786 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$955 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$661 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,964 Wol.
3%
84-85°F
$1,965 Wol.
14%
86-87°F
$2,087 Wol.
45%
88-89°F
$2,644 Wol.
33%
90-91°F
$2,181 Wol.
6%
92-93°F
$1,437 Wol.
1%
94-95°F
$1,147 Wol.
1%
96°F or higher
$1,112 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,861Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$16,861Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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