Current forecasts from numerical weather models and official meteorological services indicate a peak temperature of 21°C in Milan on May 17, driven by stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley that suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover around 21–23°C under similar high-pressure regimes, with minimal diurnal variability expected today. Trader consensus at 99.5% for the 21°C outcome reflects this strong model agreement and the absence of any incoming fronts or convective activity that could alter the maximum. Only a significant late-day temperature spike from unexpected wind shifts or measurement revisions at official stations would realistically challenge the implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on May 17?
21°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,988 Wol.
$42,988 Wol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,988 Wol.
$42,988 Wol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCCurrent forecasts from numerical weather models and official meteorological services indicate a peak temperature of 21°C in Milan on May 17, driven by stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley that suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover around 21–23°C under similar high-pressure regimes, with minimal diurnal variability expected today. Trader consensus at 99.5% for the 21°C outcome reflects this strong model agreement and the absence of any incoming fronts or convective activity that could alter the maximum. Only a significant late-day temperature spike from unexpected wind shifts or measurement revisions at official stations would realistically challenge the implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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