Recent model runs from Russian and European meteorological centers indicate a high-pressure ridge over the East European Plain will support strong daytime insolation and light winds across Moscow on May 18, favoring a daily maximum near 28–29 °C at the VDNKh reference station. Ensemble spreads remain modest because boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover are the dominant uncertainties; a modest increase in low-level humidity or thin cirrus could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower, while drier northerly flow would allow readings to reach 30 °C. These factors explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme departures from the current forecast consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
29°C 33%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
NOWE
$13,031 Wol.
NOWE
$13,031 Wol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
27%
29°C
33%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
3%
29°C 33%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
NOWE
$13,031 Wol.
NOWE
$13,031 Wol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$936 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$818 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,346 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$2,800 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$2,464 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$695 Wol.
2%
27°C
$541 Wol.
12%
28°C
$749 Wol.
27%
29°C
$584 Wol.
33%
30°C
$473 Wol.
19%
31°C or higher
$1,624 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model runs from Russian and European meteorological centers indicate a high-pressure ridge over the East European Plain will support strong daytime insolation and light winds across Moscow on May 18, favoring a daily maximum near 28–29 °C at the VDNKh reference station. Ensemble spreads remain modest because boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover are the dominant uncertainties; a modest increase in low-level humidity or thin cirrus could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower, while drier northerly flow would allow readings to reach 30 °C. These factors explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme departures from the current forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,031Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model runs from Russian and European meteorological centers indicate a high-pressure ridge over the East European Plain will support strong daytime insolation and light winds across Moscow on May 18, favoring a daily maximum near 28–29 °C at the VDNKh reference station. Ensemble spreads remain modest because boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover are the dominant uncertainties; a modest increase in low-level humidity or thin cirrus could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower, while drier northerly flow would allow readings to reach 30 °C. These factors explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme departures from the current forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$13,031Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent model runs from Russian and European meteorological centers indicate a high-pressure ridge over the East European Plain will support strong daytime insolation and light winds across Moscow on May 18, favoring a daily maximum near 28–29 °C at the VDNKh reference station. Ensemble spreads remain modest because boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover are the dominant uncertainties; a modest increase in low-level humidity or thin cirrus could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower, while drier northerly flow would allow readings to reach 30 °C. These factors explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme departures from the current forecast consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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