Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate Panama City's daily maximum on May 18 will likely peak near 32 °C, driven by strong May solar insolation at 9 °N latitude combined with moderate humidity and light steering winds. Afternoon convective cloud build-up, common as the wet season begins, introduces the main uncertainty: earlier or thicker cloud cover could cap readings at 31 °C, while delayed or scattered convection allows brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C or higher. Historical May climatology shows highs averaging 31–32 °C with a 20–30 % chance of exceeding 33 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 31–33 °C band. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these thresholds ahead of the 12:00 UTC observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on May 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 18?
32°C 37%
33°C or higher 34%
31°C 24%
30°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
37%
33°C or higher
34%
32°C 37%
33°C or higher 34%
31°C 24%
30°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
23°C or below
$568 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$560 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$375 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$171 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$163 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$284 Wol.
1%
29°C
$323 Wol.
2%
30°C
$1,062 Wol.
8%
31°C
$405 Wol.
24%
32°C
$573 Wol.
37%
33°C or higher
$981 Wol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate Panama City's daily maximum on May 18 will likely peak near 32 °C, driven by strong May solar insolation at 9 °N latitude combined with moderate humidity and light steering winds. Afternoon convective cloud build-up, common as the wet season begins, introduces the main uncertainty: earlier or thicker cloud cover could cap readings at 31 °C, while delayed or scattered convection allows brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C or higher. Historical May climatology shows highs averaging 31–32 °C with a 20–30 % chance of exceeding 33 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 31–33 °C band. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these thresholds ahead of the 12:00 UTC observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,465Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate Panama City's daily maximum on May 18 will likely peak near 32 °C, driven by strong May solar insolation at 9 °N latitude combined with moderate humidity and light steering winds. Afternoon convective cloud build-up, common as the wet season begins, introduces the main uncertainty: earlier or thicker cloud cover could cap readings at 31 °C, while delayed or scattered convection allows brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C or higher. Historical May climatology shows highs averaging 31–32 °C with a 20–30 % chance of exceeding 33 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 31–33 °C band. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these thresholds ahead of the 12:00 UTC observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$5,465Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGCurrent ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate Panama City's daily maximum on May 18 will likely peak near 32 °C, driven by strong May solar insolation at 9 °N latitude combined with moderate humidity and light steering winds. Afternoon convective cloud build-up, common as the wet season begins, introduces the main uncertainty: earlier or thicker cloud cover could cap readings at 31 °C, while delayed or scattered convection allows brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C or higher. Historical May climatology shows highs averaging 31–32 °C with a 20–30 % chance of exceeding 33 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 31–33 °C band. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will further refine these thresholds ahead of the 12:00 UTC observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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