Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,825 Wol.
$24,825 Wol.
May 15, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,825 Wol.
$24,825 Wol.
May 15, 2026
21°C or below
$5,148 Wol.
No
22°C
$5,332 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$2,368 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,828 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,929 Wol.
No
26°C
$3,072 Wol.
No
27°C
$1,087 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,001 Wol.
No
29°C
$1,010 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,223 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$828 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,825Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$24,825Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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