Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on May 11 reached exactly 17°C at the primary urban station, reflecting trader consensus with 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from a recent frente fria suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs well below the climatological May average of 23°C amid stable high-pressure conditions noted in INMET's weekly outlook. This positioning aligns with pre-event model consensus from INMET and CPTEC/INPE projecting maxima near 17°C. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or alternative station records exceeding 17°C, but final INMET bulletins typically solidify such measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 11?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 11?
17°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,654 Wol.
$82,654 Wol.
May 11, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,654 Wol.
$82,654 Wol.
May 11, 2026
15°C or below
$3,231 Wol.
No
16°C
$13,657 Wol.
No
17°C
$18,770 Wol.
Yes
18°C
$10,453 Wol.
No
19°C
$8,083 Wol.
No
20°C
$9,351 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,745 Wol.
No
22°C
$5,039 Wol.
No
23°C
$3,272 Wol.
No
24°C
$4,316 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$2,737 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on May 11 reached exactly 17°C at the primary urban station, reflecting trader consensus with 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from a recent frente fria suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs well below the climatological May average of 23°C amid stable high-pressure conditions noted in INMET's weekly outlook. This positioning aligns with pre-event model consensus from INMET and CPTEC/INPE projecting maxima near 17°C. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or alternative station records exceeding 17°C, but final INMET bulletins typically solidify such measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 9, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$82,654Data zakończenia
May 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 1:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on May 11 reached exactly 17°C at the primary urban station, reflecting trader consensus with 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from a recent frente fria suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs well below the climatological May average of 23°C amid stable high-pressure conditions noted in INMET's weekly outlook. This positioning aligns with pre-event model consensus from INMET and CPTEC/INPE projecting maxima near 17°C. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or alternative station records exceeding 17°C, but final INMET bulletins typically solidify such measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$82,654Data zakończenia
May 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 9, 2026, 1:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on May 11 reached exactly 17°C at the primary urban station, reflecting trader consensus with 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from a recent frente fria suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs well below the climatological May average of 23°C amid stable high-pressure conditions noted in INMET's weekly outlook. This positioning aligns with pre-event model consensus from INMET and CPTEC/INPE projecting maxima near 17°C. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or alternative station records exceeding 17°C, but final INMET bulletins typically solidify such measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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