Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul under stable high-pressure conditions and light westerly winds, aligning closely with the market's near-certain pricing for this outcome. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from this value, with clear skies and low humidity limiting further warming despite seasonal norms for mid-May. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that temperatures rarely exceed the forecasted peak without an incoming warm front or significant solar insolation increase. Any realistic shift away from 25°C would require an unexpected late-day temperature spike or revised observational data from central Seoul stations, though current guidance through the evening window shows no such development.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$231,553 Wol.
$231,553 Wol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$231,553 Wol.
$231,553 Wol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$7,794 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$6,507 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$9,963 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$10,880 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$15,133 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$22,532 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$28,364 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$28,287 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$23,626 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$26,830 Wol.
100%
26°C or higher
$51,637 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul under stable high-pressure conditions and light westerly winds, aligning closely with the market's near-certain pricing for this outcome. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from this value, with clear skies and low humidity limiting further warming despite seasonal norms for mid-May. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that temperatures rarely exceed the forecasted peak without an incoming warm front or significant solar insolation increase. Any realistic shift away from 25°C would require an unexpected late-day temperature spike or revised observational data from central Seoul stations, though current guidance through the evening window shows no such development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$231,553Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul under stable high-pressure conditions and light westerly winds, aligning closely with the market's near-certain pricing for this outcome. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from this value, with clear skies and low humidity limiting further warming despite seasonal norms for mid-May. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that temperatures rarely exceed the forecasted peak without an incoming warm front or significant solar insolation increase. Any realistic shift away from 25°C would require an unexpected late-day temperature spike or revised observational data from central Seoul stations, though current guidance through the evening window shows no such development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$231,553Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul under stable high-pressure conditions and light westerly winds, aligning closely with the market's near-certain pricing for this outcome. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from this value, with clear skies and low humidity limiting further warming despite seasonal norms for mid-May. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that temperatures rarely exceed the forecasted peak without an incoming warm front or significant solar insolation increase. Any realistic shift away from 25°C would require an unexpected late-day temperature spike or revised observational data from central Seoul stations, though current guidance through the evening window shows no such development.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania