Recent meteorological model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration points to a stable high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula suppressing vertical mixing and limiting daytime heating, anchoring Seoul's maximum temperature near 25°C on May 17. Ensemble runs show minimal deviation in surface energy balance, with typical May insolation and no advective warming from southerly flows. This scientific baseline underpins the overwhelming market consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-morning clearing of stratus or a rapid shift in the 500 hPa ridge, allowing temperatures to climb an additional 2–3°C beyond current guidance before official daily maximum verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$231,715 Wol.
$231,715 Wol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$231,715 Wol.
$231,715 Wol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$7,794 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$6,507 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$9,963 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$10,880 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$15,133 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$22,532 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$28,364 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$28,287 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$23,626 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$26,997 Wol.
100%
26°C or higher
$51,637 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration points to a stable high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula suppressing vertical mixing and limiting daytime heating, anchoring Seoul's maximum temperature near 25°C on May 17. Ensemble runs show minimal deviation in surface energy balance, with typical May insolation and no advective warming from southerly flows. This scientific baseline underpins the overwhelming market consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-morning clearing of stratus or a rapid shift in the 500 hPa ridge, allowing temperatures to climb an additional 2–3°C beyond current guidance before official daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$231,715Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration points to a stable high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula suppressing vertical mixing and limiting daytime heating, anchoring Seoul's maximum temperature near 25°C on May 17. Ensemble runs show minimal deviation in surface energy balance, with typical May insolation and no advective warming from southerly flows. This scientific baseline underpins the overwhelming market consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-morning clearing of stratus or a rapid shift in the 500 hPa ridge, allowing temperatures to climb an additional 2–3°C beyond current guidance before official daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$231,715Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent meteorological model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration points to a stable high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula suppressing vertical mixing and limiting daytime heating, anchoring Seoul's maximum temperature near 25°C on May 17. Ensemble runs show minimal deviation in surface energy balance, with typical May insolation and no advective warming from southerly flows. This scientific baseline underpins the overwhelming market consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-morning clearing of stratus or a rapid shift in the 500 hPa ridge, allowing temperatures to climb an additional 2–3°C beyond current guidance before official daily maximum verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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