Traders are heavily favoring a Seoul high of 25°C or higher on May 18 because the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecast and ensemble runs from global models show a warm southerly flow and clear skies delivering strong daytime heating. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the low 20s over the past 48 hours, with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected to support further warming. This aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when similar high-pressure setups have produced above-average maxima. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, with official station data serving as the resolution criterion and the next model update due overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
25°C or higher 77%
24°C 19%
23°C 3.5%
22°C <1%
NOWE
$71,726 Wol.
NOWE
$71,726 Wol.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
77%
25°C or higher 77%
24°C 19%
23°C 3.5%
22°C <1%
NOWE
$71,726 Wol.
NOWE
$71,726 Wol.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$12,409 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$5,911 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$5,706 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$3,783 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$4,468 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$3,425 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$8,566 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$7,089 Wol.
1%
23°C
$6,426 Wol.
3%
24°C
$3,644 Wol.
19%
25°C or higher
$10,299 Wol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders are heavily favoring a Seoul high of 25°C or higher on May 18 because the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecast and ensemble runs from global models show a warm southerly flow and clear skies delivering strong daytime heating. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the low 20s over the past 48 hours, with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected to support further warming. This aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when similar high-pressure setups have produced above-average maxima. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, with official station data serving as the resolution criterion and the next model update due overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$71,726Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders are heavily favoring a Seoul high of 25°C or higher on May 18 because the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecast and ensemble runs from global models show a warm southerly flow and clear skies delivering strong daytime heating. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the low 20s over the past 48 hours, with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected to support further warming. This aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when similar high-pressure setups have produced above-average maxima. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, with official station data serving as the resolution criterion and the next model update due overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$71,726Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITraders are heavily favoring a Seoul high of 25°C or higher on May 18 because the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecast and ensemble runs from global models show a warm southerly flow and clear skies delivering strong daytime heating. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the low 20s over the past 48 hours, with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected to support further warming. This aligns with climatological patterns for mid-May, when similar high-pressure setups have produced above-average maxima. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak values, with official station data serving as the resolution criterion and the next model update due overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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