Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, driving the market-implied probability of 74.5% for a high of 25°C or above in Seoul on May 18. This pattern contrasts with typical mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C at the Incheon International Airport station, where daily maxima are measured. Model consensus supports modest warming from regional pressure gradients, though inherent forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and local effects could still allow a 24°C outcome, currently priced at 21.0%. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model runs ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
25°C or higher 74%
24°C 22%
23°C 3.4%
22°C <1%
NOWE
$73,433 Wol.
NOWE
$73,433 Wol.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
74%
25°C or higher 74%
24°C 22%
23°C 3.4%
22°C <1%
NOWE
$73,433 Wol.
NOWE
$73,433 Wol.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$12,409 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$5,911 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$5,706 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$4,836 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$4,502 Wol.
1%
20°C
$3,425 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$8,971 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$7,123 Wol.
1%
23°C
$6,486 Wol.
3%
24°C
$3,738 Wol.
22%
25°C or higher
$10,437 Wol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, driving the market-implied probability of 74.5% for a high of 25°C or above in Seoul on May 18. This pattern contrasts with typical mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C at the Incheon International Airport station, where daily maxima are measured. Model consensus supports modest warming from regional pressure gradients, though inherent forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and local effects could still allow a 24°C outcome, currently priced at 21.0%. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model runs ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$73,433Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, driving the market-implied probability of 74.5% for a high of 25°C or above in Seoul on May 18. This pattern contrasts with typical mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C at the Incheon International Airport station, where daily maxima are measured. Model consensus supports modest warming from regional pressure gradients, though inherent forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and local effects could still allow a 24°C outcome, currently priced at 21.0%. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model runs ahead of resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$73,433Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, driving the market-implied probability of 74.5% for a high of 25°C or above in Seoul on May 18. This pattern contrasts with typical mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C at the Incheon International Airport station, where daily maxima are measured. Model consensus supports modest warming from regional pressure gradients, though inherent forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and local effects could still allow a 24°C outcome, currently priced at 21.0%. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model runs ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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