Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a pronounced warm-air advection over eastern Japan this weekend, supporting a Tokyo daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Southerly flow combined with ample sunshine is expected to drive afternoon temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Ensemble guidance remains consistent on peak heating potential, though minor model spread exists regarding exact timing of any coastal breeze. Resolution will rest solely on the official JMA maximum, and traders have incorporated this consensus into the leading outcome while monitoring the final pre-event forecast update for any late adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 18?
28°C or higher 61%
27°C 28%
26°C 11%
25°C 3.5%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
28%
28°C or higher
61%
28°C or higher 61%
27°C 28%
26°C 11%
25°C 3.5%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$1,378 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$1,018 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$997 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$501 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$385 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$498 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$751 Wol.
1%
25°C
$384 Wol.
4%
26°C
$378 Wol.
11%
27°C
$509 Wol.
28%
28°C or higher
$508 Wol.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a pronounced warm-air advection over eastern Japan this weekend, supporting a Tokyo daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Southerly flow combined with ample sunshine is expected to drive afternoon temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Ensemble guidance remains consistent on peak heating potential, though minor model spread exists regarding exact timing of any coastal breeze. Resolution will rest solely on the official JMA maximum, and traders have incorporated this consensus into the leading outcome while monitoring the final pre-event forecast update for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,307Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a pronounced warm-air advection over eastern Japan this weekend, supporting a Tokyo daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Southerly flow combined with ample sunshine is expected to drive afternoon temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Ensemble guidance remains consistent on peak heating potential, though minor model spread exists regarding exact timing of any coastal breeze. Resolution will rest solely on the official JMA maximum, and traders have incorporated this consensus into the leading outcome while monitoring the final pre-event forecast update for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$7,307Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTForecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a pronounced warm-air advection over eastern Japan this weekend, supporting a Tokyo daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Southerly flow combined with ample sunshine is expected to drive afternoon temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Ensemble guidance remains consistent on peak heating potential, though minor model spread exists regarding exact timing of any coastal breeze. Resolution will rest solely on the official JMA maximum, and traders have incorporated this consensus into the leading outcome while monitoring the final pre-event forecast update for any late adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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