Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,049 Wol.
$49,049 Wol.
May 17, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,049 Wol.
$49,049 Wol.
May 17, 2026
5°C or below
$660 Wol.
<1%
6°C
$979 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$435 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$683 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$1,131 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$4,426 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$10,585 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$4,844 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$9,495 Wol.
100%
14°C
$7,982 Wol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$7,853 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$49,049Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$49,049Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAEnsemble model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. Cool northwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, while limited solar insolation and light winds further cap any late-day rise. Minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing or brief wind shifts could permit a brief spike to 14°C, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the current observational trends. Final confirmation will come from official station readings at the close of the calendar day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania