Clear overnight skies and light northerly winds under stable high pressure enabled efficient radiative cooling across the Paris region on May 16, producing a minimum temperature of 6°C according to Météo-France observations and ensemble model consensus. This outcome aligns with typical spring nocturnal cooling rates when cloud cover remains below 20 percent and dew points stay in the single digits Celsius. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these conditions, with the 6°C threshold holding near-certain probability given the narrow uncertainty range in official station data. A shift in resolution would require either a measurement revision exceeding 1°C from the primary Paris-Montsouris site or an unforecasted frontal passage that raised overnight lows above the recorded value.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on May 16?
6°C 100.0%
0°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$17,411 Wol.
$17,411 Wol.
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C or higher
<1%
6°C 100.0%
0°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$17,411 Wol.
$17,411 Wol.
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBClear overnight skies and light northerly winds under stable high pressure enabled efficient radiative cooling across the Paris region on May 16, producing a minimum temperature of 6°C according to Météo-France observations and ensemble model consensus. This outcome aligns with typical spring nocturnal cooling rates when cloud cover remains below 20 percent and dew points stay in the single digits Celsius. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these conditions, with the 6°C threshold holding near-certain probability given the narrow uncertainty range in official station data. A shift in resolution would require either a measurement revision exceeding 1°C from the primary Paris-Montsouris site or an unforecasted frontal passage that raised overnight lows above the recorded value.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania