Recent forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, driving the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This alignment reflects typical mid-May synoptic conditions over the Yangtze River Delta, where moderate southerly flow off the East China Sea and limited cloud cover maintain minimum temperatures within the historical 17–22°C range observed at local stations. The strong trader consensus captures this model agreement and climatological baseline, though rapid shifts in frontal passage or increased nocturnal radiative cooling could still produce a one-degree deviation by the close of the 24-hour observation period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$11,133 Wol.
$11,133 Wol.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$11,133 Wol.
$11,133 Wol.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$776 Wol.
1%
15°C
$626 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$563 Wol.
1%
17°C
$934 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$911 Wol.
1%
19°C
$2,045 Wol.
99%
20°C
$2,433 Wol.
1%
21°C
$957 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$528 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$583 Wol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$778 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, driving the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This alignment reflects typical mid-May synoptic conditions over the Yangtze River Delta, where moderate southerly flow off the East China Sea and limited cloud cover maintain minimum temperatures within the historical 17–22°C range observed at local stations. The strong trader consensus captures this model agreement and climatological baseline, though rapid shifts in frontal passage or increased nocturnal radiative cooling could still produce a one-degree deviation by the close of the 24-hour observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,133Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, driving the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This alignment reflects typical mid-May synoptic conditions over the Yangtze River Delta, where moderate southerly flow off the East China Sea and limited cloud cover maintain minimum temperatures within the historical 17–22°C range observed at local stations. The strong trader consensus captures this model agreement and climatological baseline, though rapid shifts in frontal passage or increased nocturnal radiative cooling could still produce a one-degree deviation by the close of the 24-hour observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$11,133Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDRecent forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, driving the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. This alignment reflects typical mid-May synoptic conditions over the Yangtze River Delta, where moderate southerly flow off the East China Sea and limited cloud cover maintain minimum temperatures within the historical 17–22°C range observed at local stations. The strong trader consensus captures this model agreement and climatological baseline, though rapid shifts in frontal passage or increased nocturnal radiative cooling could still produce a one-degree deviation by the close of the 24-hour observation period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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