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Mundo·Brasil

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar

icon for Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar
Mundo·Brasil

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar

Renan Santos 50%

Ronaldo Caiado 16%

Romeu Zema 13%

Flávio Bolsonaro 9.0%

Polymarket

$355,307 Vol.

Renan Santos 50%

Ronaldo Caiado 16%

Romeu Zema 13%

Flávio Bolsonaro 9.0%

Polymarket

$355,307 Vol.

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$92,510 Vol.

50%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$24,601 Vol.

16%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$15,841 Vol.

13%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$15,979 Vol.

9%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$16,608 Vol.

2%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$8,467 Vol.

1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$6,934 Vol.

1%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$7,901 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$41,343 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$4,903 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$5,145 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$5,803 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$96,262 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$4,940 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$2,381 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$3,906 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$1,783 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent June 2026 polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions near 40 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro near 30 percent, leaving a fragmented field for third place among lower-polling right-leaning contenders. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has posted the strongest recent gains in national surveys, particularly among younger voters, positioning him ahead of Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado in trader assessments of who will finish third on October 4. Zema and Caiado, both sitting governors, remain competitive alternatives within the opposition but trail Santos in current vote-intention data. Forums among right-wing pre-candidates have highlighted efforts at unity without altering the lower-tier polling hierarchy. Market pricing reflects this distribution of support while leaving room for shifts as official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$355,307
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent June 2026 polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions near 40 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro near 30 percent, leaving a fragmented field for third place among lower-polling right-leaning contenders. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has posted the strongest recent gains in national surveys, particularly among younger voters, positioning him ahead of Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado in trader assessments of who will finish third on October 4. Zema and Caiado, both sitting governors, remain competitive alternatives within the opposition but trail Santos in current vote-intention data. Forums among right-wing pre-candidates have highlighted efforts at unity without altering the lower-tier polling hierarchy. Market pricing reflects this distribution of support while leaving room for shifts as official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the first round.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$355,307
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Renan Santos" at 50%, followed by "Ronaldo Caiado" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" has generated $355.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" is "Renan Santos" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ronaldo Caiado" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.