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Eleições·Colômbia

Segundo turno das eleições presidenciais na Colômbia: comparecimento às urnas

icon for Segundo turno das eleições presidenciais na Colômbia: comparecimento às urnas
Eleições·Colômbia

Segundo turno das eleições presidenciais na Colômbia: comparecimento às urnas

60-64% 59%

56-60% 37%

64% ou mais 4.2%

52-56% 2.6%

Polymarket

$13,462 Vol.

60-64% 59%

56-60% 37%

64% ou mais 4.2%

52-56% 2.6%

Polymarket

$13,462 Vol.

<52%

$828 Vol.

1%

52-56%

$678 Vol.

3%

56-60%

$3,034 Vol.

37%

60-64%

$5,609 Vol.

59%

64% ou mais

$3,313 Vol.

4%

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**The first-round turnout of 57.89% on May 31—the highest in Colombian presidential election history—establishes a strong baseline for the June 21 runoff between Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda.** Trader consensus centers on 60-64% because runoff dynamics in polarized contests typically lift participation through intensified mobilization of core supporters, endorsements from eliminated centrist candidates, and heightened media attention during the three-week campaign window. The 56-60% band remains plausible if abstention patterns from the first round largely repeat amid short preparation time and regional security variations. Polarization between the far-right and left-wing frontrunners, combined with the concentration of over 84% of first-round votes in these two, encourages higher engagement, while structural factors such as Colombia’s registered electorate of roughly 41.4 million and historical runoff precedents support modest gains rather than sharp spikes or drops. Late developments, including coalition negotiations and voter outreach targeting the roughly 42% who abstained initially, will shape final figures within the June 21 resolution window.

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$13,462
Data de Término
22 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**The first-round turnout of 57.89% on May 31—the highest in Colombian presidential election history—establishes a strong baseline for the June 21 runoff between Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda.** Trader consensus centers on 60-64% because runoff dynamics in polarized contests typically lift participation through intensified mobilization of core supporters, endorsements from eliminated centrist candidates, and heightened media attention during the three-week campaign window. The 56-60% band remains plausible if abstention patterns from the first round largely repeat amid short preparation time and regional security variations. Polarization between the far-right and left-wing frontrunners, combined with the concentration of over 84% of first-round votes in these two, encourages higher engagement, while structural factors such as Colombia’s registered electorate of roughly 41.4 million and historical runoff precedents support modest gains rather than sharp spikes or drops. Late developments, including coalition negotiations and voter outreach targeting the roughly 42% who abstained initially, will shape final figures within the June 21 resolution window.

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$13,462
Data de Término
22 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Segundo turno das eleições presidenciais na Colômbia: comparecimento às urnas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "60-64%" at 59%, followed by "56-60%" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Segundo turno das eleições presidenciais na Colômbia: comparecimento às urnas" has generated $13.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Segundo turno das eleições presidenciais na Colômbia: comparecimento às urnas," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Segundo turno das eleições presidenciais na Colômbia: comparecimento às urnas" is "60-64%" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "56-60%" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Segundo turno das eleições presidenciais na Colômbia: comparecimento às urnas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.