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Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Goiás

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Goiás
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Goiás

Daniel Vilela 77%

Marconi Perillo 18%

Vanderlan Cardoso 12.2%

Wilder Morais 11%

Polymarket
NOVO

Daniel Vilela 77%

Marconi Perillo 18%

Vanderlan Cardoso 12.2%

Wilder Morais 11%

Polymarket
NOVO

Daniel Vilela

$316 Vol.

77%

Marconi Perillo

$153 Vol.

11%

Vanderlan Cardoso

$244 Vol.

12%

Wilder Morais

$167 Vol.

11%

Adriana Accorsi

$222 Vol.

11%

The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation to pursue a presidential bid, holds an 82.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner. Multiple recent polls, including those from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa, show him leading first-round intentions by double-digit margins over Marconi Perillo (PSDB), Wilder Morais (PL), and Adriana Accorsi (PT), reflecting continuity with Caiado’s high-approval administration and MDB organizational strength. The fragmented opposition field and Vilela’s early consolidation of center-right support and business endorsements have reinforced trader consensus on his path to victory in the October 4 election, while lower probabilities for challengers reflect their weaker polling and limited momentum in the current cycle.

The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,103
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in March 2026 following Ronaldo Caiado’s resignation to pursue a presidential bid, holds an 82.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner. Multiple recent polls, including those from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Directa, show him leading first-round intentions by double-digit margins over Marconi Perillo (PSDB), Wilder Morais (PL), and Adriana Accorsi (PT), reflecting continuity with Caiado’s high-approval administration and MDB organizational strength. The fragmented opposition field and Vilela’s early consolidation of center-right support and business endorsements have reinforced trader consensus on his path to victory in the October 4 election, while lower probabilities for challengers reflect their weaker polling and limited momentum in the current cycle.

The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,103
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Goiás" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Daniel Vilela" at 77%, followed by "Vanderlan Cardoso" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Goiás" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Goiás," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Goiás" is "Daniel Vilela" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vanderlan Cardoso" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Goiás" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.