National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 14 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 14 de maio?
82°F ou mais 100.0%
63°F ou menos <1%
18-18,5°C <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,314 Vol.
$91,314 Vol.
63°F ou menos
Não
18-18,5°C
Não
66-67°F
Não
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82°F ou mais
Sim
82°F ou mais 100.0%
63°F ou menos <1%
18-18,5°C <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,314 Vol.
$91,314 Vol.
63°F ou menos
Não
18-18,5°C
Não
66-67°F
Não
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82°F ou mais
Sim
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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