Market-implied odds show near-certain trader consensus around a 7°C minimum for London today, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs projecting stable overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England, where daily lows average 7–9°C, and current surface observations indicate no significant cold advection from the north. Resolution hinges on official Met Office station readings at Heathrow and St James’s Park, which will capture the precise overnight low. A late frontal passage or unexpected wind shift could still push the minimum a degree lower or higher, though model spread remains narrow at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 16 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 16 de maio?
7°C 99.6%
5°C <1%
4°C <1%
6°C <1%
$20,434 Vol.
$20,434 Vol.
16 mai 2026
0°C ou menos
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
100%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C ou mais
<1%
7°C 99.6%
5°C <1%
4°C <1%
6°C <1%
$20,434 Vol.
$20,434 Vol.
16 mai 2026
0°C ou menos
$343 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$905 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$3,067 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$3,334 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$745 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,159 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,931 Vol.
100%
8°C
$827 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$573 Vol.
<1%
10°C ou mais
$7,048 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds show near-certain trader consensus around a 7°C minimum for London today, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs projecting stable overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England, where daily lows average 7–9°C, and current surface observations indicate no significant cold advection from the north. Resolution hinges on official Met Office station readings at Heathrow and St James’s Park, which will capture the precise overnight low. A late frontal passage or unexpected wind shift could still push the minimum a degree lower or higher, though model spread remains narrow at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20,434Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Market-implied odds show near-certain trader consensus around a 7°C minimum for London today, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs projecting stable overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England, where daily lows average 7–9°C, and current surface observations indicate no significant cold advection from the north. Resolution hinges on official Met Office station readings at Heathrow and St James’s Park, which will capture the precise overnight low. A late frontal passage or unexpected wind shift could still push the minimum a degree lower or higher, though model spread remains narrow at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,434Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCMarket-implied odds show near-certain trader consensus around a 7°C minimum for London today, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs projecting stable overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England, where daily lows average 7–9°C, and current surface observations indicate no significant cold advection from the north. Resolution hinges on official Met Office station readings at Heathrow and St James’s Park, which will capture the precise overnight low. A late frontal passage or unexpected wind shift could still push the minimum a degree lower or higher, though model spread remains narrow at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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