Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where overnight lows commonly settle near 8–10°C but dip lower under anticyclonic influence. The market’s 100% consensus on 6°C reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, with traders assigning negligible probability to deviations. Only unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before dawn could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show little risk of such changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 16 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 16 de maio?
6°C 100.0%
0°C ou menos <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,366 Vol.
$15,366 Vol.
16 mai 2026
0°C ou menos
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C ou mais
<1%
6°C 100.0%
0°C ou menos <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,366 Vol.
$15,366 Vol.
16 mai 2026
0°C ou menos
$255 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$581 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$817 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,272 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,238 Vol.
100%
7°C
$3,305 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,833 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$943 Vol.
<1%
10°C ou mais
$3,045 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where overnight lows commonly settle near 8–10°C but dip lower under anticyclonic influence. The market’s 100% consensus on 6°C reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, with traders assigning negligible probability to deviations. Only unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before dawn could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show little risk of such changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15,366Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where overnight lows commonly settle near 8–10°C but dip lower under anticyclonic influence. The market’s 100% consensus on 6°C reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, with traders assigning negligible probability to deviations. Only unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before dawn could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show little risk of such changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,366Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBMétéo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where overnight lows commonly settle near 8–10°C but dip lower under anticyclonic influence. The market’s 100% consensus on 6°C reflects this tight agreement across official guidance, with traders assigning negligible probability to deviations. Only unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns before dawn could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show little risk of such changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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