Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France place Paris overnight lows on May 20 near 12–13 °C, reflecting a mild spring pattern with moderate southwesterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Subtle model differences arise from variations in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C across the 10–14 °C range that dominates trader probabilities. Historical May climatology shows average lows around 9–10 °C, yet current conditions favor slightly warmer readings ahead of the next model update from these agencies on May 18.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 20 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 20 de maio?
12°C 24%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
14°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
20 mai 2026
6°C ou menos
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
6%
10°C
6%
11°C
12%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
15%
15°C
5%
16°C ou mais
3%
12°C 24%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
14°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
20 mai 2026
6°C ou menos
$126 Vol.
1%
7°C
$160 Vol.
2%
8°C
$14 Vol.
5%
9°C
$30 Vol.
6%
10°C
$24 Vol.
6%
11°C
$25 Vol.
12%
12°C
$25 Vol.
24%
13°C
$14 Vol.
21%
14°C
$14 Vol.
15%
15°C
$14 Vol.
5%
16°C ou mais
$99 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France place Paris overnight lows on May 20 near 12–13 °C, reflecting a mild spring pattern with moderate southwesterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Subtle model differences arise from variations in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C across the 10–14 °C range that dominates trader probabilities. Historical May climatology shows average lows around 9–10 °C, yet current conditions favor slightly warmer readings ahead of the next model update from these agencies on May 18.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$546Data de Término
20 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France place Paris overnight lows on May 20 near 12–13 °C, reflecting a mild spring pattern with moderate southwesterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Subtle model differences arise from variations in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C across the 10–14 °C range that dominates trader probabilities. Historical May climatology shows average lows around 9–10 °C, yet current conditions favor slightly warmer readings ahead of the next model update from these agencies on May 18.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$546Data de Término
20 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France place Paris overnight lows on May 20 near 12–13 °C, reflecting a mild spring pattern with moderate southwesterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Subtle model differences arise from variations in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C across the 10–14 °C range that dominates trader probabilities. Historical May climatology shows average lows around 9–10 °C, yet current conditions favor slightly warmer readings ahead of the next model update from these agencies on May 18.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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