Skip to main content
icon for MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Política·Primárias

MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Política·Primárias

MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Dan Koh 75%

Tram Nguyen 24.9%

Kevin Larivee 5.6%

Seth Moulton 4.7%

Polymarket

$40,039 Vol.

Dan Koh 75%

Tram Nguyen 24.9%

Kevin Larivee 5.6%

Seth Moulton 4.7%

Polymarket

$40,039 Vol.

Dan Koh

$5,227 Vol.

75%

Tram Nguyen

$5,477 Vol.

25%

Kevin Larivee

$1,602 Vol.

6%

Seth Moulton

$2,055 Vol.

5%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,958 Vol.

3%

Rachel Creemers

$2,271 Vol.

2%

John Beccia

$1,830 Vol.

2%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,938 Vol.

2%

Rick Jakious

$3,541 Vol.

1%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$2,654 Vol.

1%

Dominick Pangallo

$6,253 Vol.

<1%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$5,232 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh holds a strong lead in the MA-06 Democratic primary market due to his substantial fundraising advantage, with over $3.5 million raised compared to Tram Nguyen’s roughly $430,000 as of late March 2026. The open seat, created after incumbent Seth Moulton entered the Senate race, features a crowded field of state legislators and local figures. Recent internal polling from May shows Nguyen ahead at 28% to Koh’s 18% with 24% undecided, narrowing an earlier March gap but highlighting persistent voter uncertainty. Traders appear to weigh Koh’s resource edge and prior congressional bid more heavily than Nguyen’s polling momentum heading into the September 1 primary. Other candidates trail far behind in both fundraising and survey support.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,039
Data de Término
15 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh holds a strong lead in the MA-06 Democratic primary market due to his substantial fundraising advantage, with over $3.5 million raised compared to Tram Nguyen’s roughly $430,000 as of late March 2026. The open seat, created after incumbent Seth Moulton entered the Senate race, features a crowded field of state legislators and local figures. Recent internal polling from May shows Nguyen ahead at 28% to Koh’s 18% with 24% undecided, narrowing an earlier March gap but highlighting persistent voter uncertainty. Traders appear to weigh Koh’s resource edge and prior congressional bid more heavily than Nguyen’s polling momentum heading into the September 1 primary. Other candidates trail far behind in both fundraising and survey support.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,039
Data de Término
15 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Koh" at 75%, followed by "Tram Nguyen" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $40K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Dan Koh" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tram Nguyen" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MA-06 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.