The Piauí Senate race for two seats remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent July polls from AtlasIntel and others showing Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead in first-preference voting while Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) trade positions in the battle for second. A crowded field of more than a dozen pre-candidates fragments support and keeps margins tight among the top contenders, as voters weigh incumbency records, party alliances, and regional priorities. Trader consensus on second place reflects this polling volatility and the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements that would consolidate preferences. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaigning, coalition negotiations, or additional surveys tracking second-vote preferences in the coming weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição Senado Piauí: 2º Lugar
Pastor Sena 44%
Pedro Laurentino 44%
Major Paulo Roberto 43%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro 43%

Pastor Sena
44%

Pedro Laurentino
44%

Major Paulo Roberto
43%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
43%

Ciro Nogueira
43%

Jardenya Bezerra
43%

Marcelo Castro
43%

Antônio José Lira
43%

Maria Madalena Nunes
43%

Toinho Dufrango
42%

Francinaldo Leão
42%

Jorge Lopes
42%

Tiago Junqueira
42%

Danniel Rocha
42%

Cloves José
41%

Julio Cesar
40%

Antônio Barros
38%

Irmão Evandro Marques
38%

Dionisio Carvalho
37%

Alexandre Mariano
33%
Pastor Sena 44%
Pedro Laurentino 44%
Major Paulo Roberto 43%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro 43%

Pastor Sena
44%

Pedro Laurentino
44%

Major Paulo Roberto
43%

Missionário Evandro Craveiro
43%

Ciro Nogueira
43%

Jardenya Bezerra
43%

Marcelo Castro
43%

Antônio José Lira
43%

Maria Madalena Nunes
43%

Toinho Dufrango
42%

Francinaldo Leão
42%

Jorge Lopes
42%

Tiago Junqueira
42%

Danniel Rocha
42%

Cloves José
41%

Julio Cesar
40%

Antônio Barros
38%

Irmão Evandro Marques
38%

Dionisio Carvalho
37%

Alexandre Mariano
33%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Piauí Senate race for two seats remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent July polls from AtlasIntel and others showing Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead in first-preference voting while Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) trade positions in the battle for second. A crowded field of more than a dozen pre-candidates fragments support and keeps margins tight among the top contenders, as voters weigh incumbency records, party alliances, and regional priorities. Trader consensus on second place reflects this polling volatility and the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements that would consolidate preferences. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaigning, coalition negotiations, or additional surveys tracking second-vote preferences in the coming weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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