Trader sentiment overwhelmingly favors 12°C as Amsterdam’s highest temperature on May 16, reflecting robust consensus across meteorological models projecting a daytime maximum at that level under stable high-pressure conditions and northerly airflow. Official guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute shows minimal diurnal warming expected, with observed readings and ensemble forecasts aligning on a cool spring day influenced by regional atmospheric patterns that have suppressed typical mid-May averages near 16–18°C. This positioning draws from verified observational data and model runs that indicate limited potential for significant deviation. Realistic challenges include rapid changes in cloud cover or wind shifts that could allow brief warming, though current consensus keeps such outcomes unlikely before the daily high is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$41,939 Объем
$41,939 Объем
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$41,939 Объем
$41,939 Объем
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment overwhelmingly favors 12°C as Amsterdam’s highest temperature on May 16, reflecting robust consensus across meteorological models projecting a daytime maximum at that level under stable high-pressure conditions and northerly airflow. Official guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute shows minimal diurnal warming expected, with observed readings and ensemble forecasts aligning on a cool spring day influenced by regional atmospheric patterns that have suppressed typical mid-May averages near 16–18°C. This positioning draws from verified observational data and model runs that indicate limited potential for significant deviation. Realistic challenges include rapid changes in cloud cover or wind shifts that could allow brief warming, though current consensus keeps such outcomes unlikely before the daily high is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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