Latest numerical weather model consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicates a daytime maximum of 18 °C at Ankara’s official Esenboğa station today, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and limited solar heating across the central Anatolian plateau. This places the outcome well below the long-term mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C while aligning with current surface observations showing temperatures peaking in the upper teens. Traders assign 93.5 % implied probability to 18 °C because afternoon verification data are unlikely to exceed this threshold under stable synoptic conditions. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger southerly advection could still push readings to 19 °C, though both outcomes carry low market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 17 мая?
18°C 94.5%
19°C 4.0%
20°C 1.4%
21°C <1%
$47,476 Объем
$47,476 Объем
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
95%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
18°C 94.5%
19°C 4.0%
20°C 1.4%
21°C <1%
$47,476 Объем
$47,476 Объем
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
95%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACLatest numerical weather model consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicates a daytime maximum of 18 °C at Ankara’s official Esenboğa station today, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and limited solar heating across the central Anatolian plateau. This places the outcome well below the long-term mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C while aligning with current surface observations showing temperatures peaking in the upper teens. Traders assign 93.5 % implied probability to 18 °C because afternoon verification data are unlikely to exceed this threshold under stable synoptic conditions. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger southerly advection could still push readings to 19 °C, though both outcomes carry low market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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