Current forecast consensus among major meteorological models points to a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 17 hovering between 19 and 20 degrees Celsius, driving the tight spread in market-implied probabilities for these outcomes. This positioning arises from transitional spring atmospheric conditions over northern China, where a weakening high-pressure ridge allows gradual warming but faces potential moderation from incoming maritime air masses. Ensemble predictions highlight low confidence in exact peak values due to small variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat island effects that could shift the daily high by a degree or two. Updated model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected within the next 24 hours may clarify whether conditions favor the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 17 мая?
19°C 39%
20°C 34%
21°C 17%
18°C 12.6%
$26,032 Объем
$26,032 Объем
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
13%
19°C
39%
20°C
34%
21°C
17%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 39%
20°C 34%
21°C 17%
18°C 12.6%
$26,032 Объем
$26,032 Объем
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
13%
19°C
39%
20°C
34%
21°C
17%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecast consensus among major meteorological models points to a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 17 hovering between 19 and 20 degrees Celsius, driving the tight spread in market-implied probabilities for these outcomes. This positioning arises from transitional spring atmospheric conditions over northern China, where a weakening high-pressure ridge allows gradual warming but faces potential moderation from incoming maritime air masses. Ensemble predictions highlight low confidence in exact peak values due to small variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat island effects that could shift the daily high by a degree or two. Updated model guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration expected within the next 24 hours may clarify whether conditions favor the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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