Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C for Chengdu on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels limiting daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal May baselines averaging 26–28°C and recent observational trends showing no significant warm-air advection. The market’s overwhelming 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. Only an unexpected shift in cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 28°C or above, though current data make such scenarios highly improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$96,251 Объем
$96,251 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$96,251 Объем
$96,251 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
21°C or below
$1,503 Объем
No
22°C
$1,782 Объем
No
23°C
$2,936 Объем
No
24°C
$5,327 Объем
No
25°C
$7,638 Объем
No
26°C
$36,686 Объем
No
27°C
$11,859 Объем
Yes
28°C
$12,510 Объем
No
29°C
$6,099 Объем
No
30°C
$5,175 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$4,735 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C for Chengdu on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels limiting daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal May baselines averaging 26–28°C and recent observational trends showing no significant warm-air advection. The market’s overwhelming 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. Only an unexpected shift in cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 28°C or above, though current data make such scenarios highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Объем
$96,251Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C for Chengdu on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels limiting daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal May baselines averaging 26–28°C and recent observational trends showing no significant warm-air advection. The market’s overwhelming 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. Only an unexpected shift in cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 28°C or above, though current data make such scenarios highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$96,251Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C for Chengdu on May 16, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels limiting daytime heating. This aligns with seasonal May baselines averaging 26–28°C and recent observational trends showing no significant warm-air advection. The market’s overwhelming 100% consensus on 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and limited uncertainty in the final hours before resolution. Only an unexpected shift in cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 28°C or above, though current data make such scenarios highly improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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